Open Forecasting

Menu

Skip to content
  • Home
  • Events
    • Future events
    • Past events
  • smooth
    • smooth Github
    • smooth in Python
    • smooth in R
      • About adam() function
      • About es() function
      • Common parameters
      • smooth methods in R
  • greybox
    • greybox Github
    • greybox in Python
      • greybox on PyPI
    • greybox in R
  • Theory
    • Forecast evaluation
  • ADAM
  • SBA
  • About
  • Русский

OR

OR60 presentation. Forecasting using exponential smoothing: the past, the present, the future

2018-09-18 Leave a comment

Robert Fildes asked me to prepare a review of exponential smoothing for OR60. I thought that it would be boring just to look in the past, so I decided to do past + present + future, adding a model that Nikos and I have started working on some time ago (GUM – Generalised Univariate Model). […]

  • Русский

Events

  • No events planned at the moment

Blog

  • smooth forecasting with the smooth package in Python
  • The real Dunning-Kruger effect
  • There’s no such thing as “deterministic forecast”
  • Scaling of error measures
  • smooth v4.4.0

Tags

ADAM AI and ML ARIMA bla-bla-bla CES changepoint combinations Competitions complex variables conferences consultancy English error measures estimators ETS extrapolation methods greybox GUM hierarchies history Information criteria intermittent demand ISF ISMS model combination model selection multivariate models papers personal PhD presentations programming Python R regression regular demand Seasonality SMA smooth statistics stories teaching theory time series uncertainty

Comments

  • Ivan Svetunkov on Intermittent demand classifications: is that what you need?
  • Kishor Kukreja on Intermittent demand classifications: is that what you need?
  • Ivan Svetunkov on Who is “Forecasting academia”?
  • Mohamed Merabtine on Who is “Forecasting academia”?
  • Ivan Svetunkov on Why Naive is not a good benchmark for intermittent demand

RSS RBloggers feed

  • Collaborating between Bioconductor and R-universe on Development of Common Infrastructure 2026-04-08
  • EM-DAT, the world’s disaster memory, is at risk 2026-04-07
  • Marathon Man: how to pace a marathon 2026-04-06
  • One interface, (Almost) Every Classifier: unifiedml v0.2.1 2026-04-04
  • You can just build your own programming language 2026-04-03

Categories

Blog Authors

Ivan Svetunkov
  • Home
  • Future events
  • Past events
  • Using R
  • About
Рейтинг@Mail.ru