Great news, everyone! smooth package for R version 4.4.0 is now on CRAN. Why is this a great news? Let me explain! On this page: What’s new? Evaluation Setup Results What’s next? Here is what’s new since 4.3.0: First, I have worked on tuning the initialisation in adam() in case of backcasting, and improved the … Read more
Good news! The smooth package v4.3.0 is now on CRAN. And there are several things worth mentioning, so I have written this post. New default initialisation mechanism Since the beginning of the package, the smooth functions supported three ways for initialising the state vector (the vector that includes level, trend, seasonal indices): optimisation, backcasting and … Read more
Robert Fildes asked me to prepare a review of exponential smoothing for OR60. I thought that it would be boring just to look in the past, so I decided to do past + present + future, adding a model that Nikos and I have started working on some time ago (GUM – Generalised Univariate Model). … Read more