This year, I couldn’t attend the International Symposium on Forecasting (organised by the International Institute of Forecasters), which I usually do, so instead I went to Gran Canaria for the International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (aka ITISE). The location was fantastic, and I enjoyed several talks. I was also glad to catch up […]
Here is one thing you have probably not heard of: a workshop on Open Source Forecasting software, held in Beijing on 26th – 27th June 2025. This was a closed event, with speakers attending by invitation only. It focused on recent advancements and potential avenues in open-source forecasting software. But why am I writing about […]
It was a pleasure to attend the 5th IMA and OR Society Conference at Aston University, Birmingham, and to present my research with Anna Sroginis on model-based demand classification. A great crowd of people from universities across the UK, along with several esteemed international colleagues. The event was very well organised – thanks to Aris […]
On 1st July, I presented my ongoing work on time series bootstrap and its impact on prediction intervals at ISF2024 in Dijon, France. Abstract: Bootstrap is extensively used in statistics and machine learning for cross-sectional data to account for uncertainty about the data, model form, and parameter estimates. However, conventional methods may not be suitable […]
This time ISF took place in Oxford. I acted as a programme chair of the event and was quite busy with schedule and some other minor organisational things, but I still found time to present something new. Specifically, I talked about one specific part of ADAM, the part implementing ETS+ARIMA. The idea is that the […]
This year International Symposium on Forecasting was held online, although Centre for Marketing Analytics and Forecasting of Lancaster University had their own hub, where we would come and watch presentations together and even present to the others. I presented on the topic of Multiplicative ETS, based on this chapter of the ADAM textbook and on […]
Today I have made a presentation on the topic of “Multi-step Estimators and Shrinkage Effect in Time Series Models” for Center for Econometrics and Business Analytics (CEBA) of St.Petersburg State University. This presentation was based on the paper with the similar name written by Ivan Svetunkov, Nikolaos Kourentzes and Rebecca Killick. In the presentation, I […]
The ISF2019 took place in Thessaloniki, Greece. This time I presented a spin-off of my research on intermittent demand in retail, entitled as “What about those sweet melons? Using mixture models for demand forecasting in retail”. The idea is quite trivial and simple: use mixture distribution regressions (e.g. logistic and log-normal distributions) in order to […]
I was recently invited to attend the SMUG2019 conference (SMoothie Users Group), organised by Demand Works company in New York. They asked me to present two topics: State space ARIMA for Supply Chain Forecasting, based on which I have developed a module for Smoothie a couple of years ago, Artificial Intelligence in Business, one of […]
I usually prepare these types of posts at the end of the previous year, but this time I failed to do that earlier. As a result many deadlines for the abstract submissions have already passed. However, there are still several events that you can register for and attend in 2019: 5th April, CMAF Workshop on […]